Strait of Hormuz is used for exporting crude oil to Asia by members of OPEC including Saudi Arabia, Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Iraq

Rystad researchers conclude there is a lower probability of the conflict escalating into a full-blown war and causing a huge spike in prices. But a potential blockage of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran remains the most important market-moving event to watch for.

Stock futures were higher on Sunday as investors weighed the impact of the escalating Israel-Iran conflict that shows no signs of any potential off-ramps ahead. Oil prices rallied after Israel attacked key areas of Iran’s energy infrastructure over the weekend,

Oil prices were stable on Monday after Iran's oil production infrastructure was excluded from intensification of military conflict with Israel, while the Strait of Hormuz remains open

About 21mn barrels of oil from Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates pass daily through the narrow waterway separating the Islamic republic from the Gulf states, representing about one-third of the world’s seaborne oil supplies.

That sent the yield on the 10-year Treasury up to 4.43% from 4.36% late Thursday. Higher yields can tug down on prices for stocks and other investments, while making it more expensive for U.S. companies and households to borrow money.