Mr. Beat briefly tells the story of the worst presidential election prediction in history. Produced by Matt Beat.

Could the 2026 Midterms flip control of House and Senate? Here's who's winning in midterm election polling; polls and ...

The prediction markets seem to have a strong opinion about who — or at least which party — will win the 2028 presidential election. As of this week, prediction market Kalshi gives the Democratic party ...

Kalshi and Polymarket have promoted themselves as more accurate alternatives to opinion polls. But just how good are ...

Prediction markets have gone from a niche internet product to mainstream surprisingly quickly. The idea is simple: you put real money behind your forecast on a real-world event — who wins the election ...

Prediction market trading volume has risen from under $5 billion monthly in mid 2025 to nearly $24 billion in April 2026, ...

Even after polls closed May 19, Kalshi users were still betting on the primary race between Thomas Massie and Ed Gallrein. Here's how much.

Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority, meaning Democrats need a net gain of four seats to reach 51 and take control.