Retail inflation is likely to have increased from the October level of 0.3% to between 0.5 and 1%, or even higher, in November.

India’s retail inflation has shown a marginal reversal in November 2025 but remains at a comfortable level, with overall price pressures still muted, according to SBI Research’s latest Ecowrap report released today here.

SBI Research estimates a 25 basis point decline in CPI inflation due to GST rationalisation from September to November 2025, with a potential total reduction of 35 bps for 2025-26. Inflation in India is projected to rise further due to rupee depreciation.

Crisil, a rating agency, predicts that India's retail inflation will average at 2.5% in the fiscal year 2025-26 due to factors such as GST rate cuts and weak global crude prices.

Crisil forecasts India's retail inflation to average 2.5% in the 2025-26 fiscal year amid fluctuating food and fuel prices.

Key economic data includes a delayed September reading of the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. Here's what to watch: Inflation data: September's personal-consumption expenditures price index,

Indian shares advanced on Friday, extending the previous session's U.S. Federal Reserve-led rebound that helped cap weekly losses.